Our model gives Bulls Academy a 22% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 59% for Blacktown Spartans.

Both teams are projected to score in 60% of simulations, against 40% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Bulls Academy have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Blacktown Spartans have done so in 3 of their last 4.