Our model gives Buckhurst Hill a 52% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 26% for Barking.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Buckhurst Hill have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Barking have done so in 0 of their last 1.