Our model gives Brunswick City a 54% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Melbourne Srbija.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Brunswick City have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Melbourne Srbija have done so in 0 of their last 3.