Our model gives Brommapojkarna a 34% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 41% for IFK Göteborg.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Brommapojkarna have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and IFK Göteborg have done so in 3 of their last 6.