Our model gives Broadmeadow Magic a 58% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 24% for Charlestown Azzurri.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Broadmeadow Magic have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Charlestown Azzurri have done so in 1 of their last 3.