Our model gives Bray Wanderers a 59% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Treaty United.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Bray Wanderers have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Treaty United have done so in 1 of their last 3.