Our model gives Botev Plovdiv a 44% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Levski Sofia.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 48% likelihood against 52% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Botev Plovdiv have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Levski Sofia have done so in 3 of their last 6.