Our model gives Blyth Spartans a 55% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Newcastle Blue Star.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Blyth Spartans have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Newcastle Blue Star have done so in 0 of their last 1.