Our model gives Blyth Spartans a 37% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 40% for 1874 Northwich.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Blyth Spartans have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and 1874 Northwich have done so in 1 of their last 1.