Our model gives Blacktown Spartans a 73% chance to win this one, against 14% for a draw and 13% for Inter Lions.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 78% likelihood against 22% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Blacktown Spartans have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Inter Lions have done so in 2 of their last 4.