Our model gives BFC Preussen a 43% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Tasmania Berlin.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, BFC Preussen have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5, and Tasmania Berlin have done so in 3 of their last 4.