Our model gives BFC Dynamo a 50% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Zwickau.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, BFC Dynamo have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Zwickau have done so in 3 of their last 4.