Our model gives BFC Dynamo a 34% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 42% for Chemie Leipzig.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, BFC Dynamo have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Chemie Leipzig have done so in 0 of their last 5.