Our model gives Betlemi a 16% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 68% for Guria.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Betlemi have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Guria have done so in 1 of their last 2.