Our model gives Beroe a 43% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Montana.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 45% likelihood against 55% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Beroe have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Montana have done so in 3 of their last 3.