Our model gives Bergisch Gladbach a 39% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Rot-Weiß Oberhausen.

Both teams are projected to score in 67% of simulations, against 33% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Bergisch Gladbach have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Rot-Weiß Oberhausen have done so in 2 of their last 3.