Our model gives Benfica U19 a 92% chance to win this one, against 6% for a draw and 2% for União de Leiria U19.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 80% likelihood against 20% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Benfica U19 have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and União de Leiria U19 have done so in 0 of their last 1.