Our model gives Belconnen United a 30% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 52% for Canberra Olympic.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 74% likelihood against 26% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Belconnen United have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Canberra Olympic have done so in 3 of their last 3.