Our model gives Beşiktaş a 63% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Çorum FK.

Both teams are projected to score in 50% of simulations, against 50% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Beşiktaş have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Çorum FK have done so in 1 of their last 1.