Our model gives Bars a 59% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Talant.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Bars have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Talant have done so in 1 of their last 3.