Our model gives Barnsley a 33% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 42% for Leicester City.

Both teams are projected to score in 57% of simulations, against 43% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Barnsley have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Leicester City have done so in 0 of their last 2.