Our model gives Barnet a 60% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Arsenal U21.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Barnet have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2.