Our model gives Bangor a 16% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 65% for Ballymena United.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Bangor have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Ballymena United have done so in 2 of their last 2.