Our model gives Banfield Res. a 42% chance to win this one, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Instituto Res..

Both teams are projected to score in 45% of simulations, against 55% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 38% likelihood against 62% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Banfield Res. have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Instituto Res. have done so in 1 of their last 2.