Our model gives Banbury United a 48% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Stourbridge.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Banbury United have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Stourbridge have done so in 1 of their last 2.