Our model gives Banants II a 56% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Ararat-Armenia II.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Banants II have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Ararat-Armenia II have done so in 0 of their last 3.