Our model gives Baltyk Koszalin a 58% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Flota Swinoujscie.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Baltyk Koszalin have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Flota Swinoujscie have done so in 1 of their last 3.