Our model gives Babrungas a 72% chance to win this one, against 16% for a draw and 12% for Ekranas.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 64% likelihood against 36% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Babrungas have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Ekranas have done so in 0 of their last 1.