Our model gives Azam a 85% chance to win this one, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Pamba Jiji.

Both teams are projected to score in 32% of simulations, against 68% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 53% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Azam have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Pamba Jiji have done so in 0 of their last 1.