Our model gives Avro a 53% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Stockton Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 64% likelihood against 36% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Avro have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Stockton Town have done so in 0 of their last 3.