Our model gives Avro a 55% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 24% for Quorn.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Avro have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Quorn have done so in 2 of their last 3.