Our model gives Avondale Heights a 49% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 30% for Hume City.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Avondale Heights have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Hume City have done so in 1 of their last 2.