Our model gives Aveley a 51% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Chatham Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 68% likelihood against 32% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Aveley have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Chatham Town have done so in 3 of their last 3.