Our model gives Austria Wien a 50% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Liepāja.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 54% likelihood against 46% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Austria Wien have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Liepāja have done so in 0 of their last 1.