Our model gives Austevoll a 22% chance to win this one, against 16% for a draw and 62% for Vard.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 73% likelihood against 27% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Austevoll have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Vard have done so in 4 of their last 4.