Our model gives Auda a 26% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 47% for Rīgas FS.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 52% likelihood against 48% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Auda have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5, and Rīgas FS have done so in 2 of their last 5.