Our model gives Atlas a 33% chance to win this one, against 32% for a draw and 35% for General Lamadrid.

Both teams are projected to score in 43% of simulations, against 57% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 33% likelihood against 67% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Atlas have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 4, and General Lamadrid have done so in 1 of their last 3.