Our model gives Atlanta United II a 51% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Chicago Fire II.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Atlanta United II have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Chicago Fire II have done so in 3 of their last 3.