Our model gives Atlético Oriente a 44% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 36% for Comunal Cabrero.

Both teams are projected to score in 67% of simulations, against 33% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Atlético Oriente have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Comunal Cabrero have done so in 0 of their last 2.