Our model gives Athletico PR a 50% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Internacional.

Both teams are projected to score in 48% of simulations, against 52% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 43% likelihood against 57% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Athletico PR have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Internacional have done so in 0 of their last 1.