Our model gives Athletic Club Boise a 42% chance to win this one, against 40% for a draw and 18% for Tormenta.

Both teams are projected to score in 42% of simulations, against 58% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 42% likelihood against 58% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Athletic Club Boise have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4.