Our model gives Astoria Walldorf a 38% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 39% for VfR Mannheim.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 67% likelihood against 33% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Astoria Walldorf have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and VfR Mannheim have done so in 1 of their last 1.