Our model gives Astoria Walldorf a 24% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 55% for Ulm.

Both teams are projected to score in 66% of simulations, against 34% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Astoria Walldorf have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Ulm have done so in 1 of their last 2.