Our model gives Arsenal Tivat a 29% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 41% for Budućnost.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 44% likelihood against 56% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Arsenal Tivat have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Budućnost have done so in 0 of their last 2.