Our model gives Argentinos Juniors a 67% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 10% for Aldosivi.

Both teams are projected to score in 33% of simulations, against 67% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 37% likelihood against 63% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Argentinos Juniors have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Aldosivi have done so in 2 of their last 3.