Our model gives Argeş a 36% chance to win this one, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Sepsi.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 36% likelihood against 64% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Argeş have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Sepsi have done so in 0 of their last 4.