Our model gives Arbroath a 64% chance to win this one, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Stirling Albion.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Arbroath have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Stirling Albion have done so in 0 of their last 1.