Our model gives Anstey Nomads a 52% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Newcastle Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Anstey Nomads have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Newcastle Town have done so in 1 of their last 1.