Our model gives Anstey Nomads a 58% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Leiston.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Anstey Nomads have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 3, and Leiston have done so in 2 of their last 3.