Our model gives Andranik a 92% chance to win this one, against 5% for a draw and 3% for Shirak II.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 55% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 87% likelihood against 13% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Andranik have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Shirak II have done so in 1 of their last 3.